Tags: donald trump | peace | deals | ukraine
OPINION

Trump's Global Peace Dividend - A Path to Global Harmony, Prosperity, Jobs, and Bull Markets

Trump's Global Peace Dividend - A Path to Global Harmony, Prosperity, Jobs, and Bull Markets
President Donald Trump, left, hosts Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy at the White House om Washington, D.C., on August 18, 2025. (Alex Brandon/AP)

George Mentz By Monday, 18 August 2025 03:53 PM EDT Current | Bio | Archive

In just the last 200 days, President Trump has spearheaded peace initiatives across half a dozen nations — from the Caucasus to Africa, Eastern Europe, and the Middle East. These unprecedented diplomatic breakthroughs could ignite a world bull market , stabilize long-fractured regions, and usher in newfound global peace. If successful, such efforts may secure President Trump not only a lasting legacy but also additional international peace prizes, reflecting the magnitude of his achievements in reshaping the global order.

Having studied EU European Union and international law extensively during my graduate law school and MBA years, I was able to explore in depth the economic principles behind the free movement of people, products, and services within the EU zone and common markets.

The creation of a common market has demonstrated how reducing barriers to trade, harmonizing regulations, and lowering taxes can deliver substantial advantages to both businesses and consumers. Yet these very same dynamics extend beyond Europe: they influence trade zones across Arabia, Asia, Africa, and even within the United States.

The lesson is clear— any reduction in trade barriers and restrictions on professional mobility lowers costs locally and globally, producing a powerful ripple effect of efficiency, growth, prosperity, stock markets, and pension accounts.

Peace Deals and Their Global Impact

1. Armenia–Azerbaijan “TRIPP Corridor”

On August 8, 2025, Trump secured a breakthrough peace agreement opening the long-disputed Zangezur Corridor, linking Azerbaijan with Nakhchivan through Armenia. This “TRIPP Corridor” will host rail, pipelines, and digital infrastructure—reducing transit costs, unlocking new energy supply routes, and fostering smoother trade across Europe and Asia.

2. Democratic Republic of Congo–Rwanda “Washington Accord”

On June 27, 2025, the Trump administration brought Rwanda and the DRC together under the “Washington Accord.” Rwanda agreed to withdraw forces from eastern Congo, disarm rebels, and pursue regional integration. By stabilizing one of the most mineral-rich regions in the world, this deal ensures secure access to cobalt, lithium, and other critical inputs for electronics, batteries, and renewable energy infrastructure.

3. Russia–Ukraine Peace Deal (Potential)

A settlement between Russia and Ukraine—still in progress—could release nearly 500,000 barrels of oil per day (15 million monthly) into global markets. Such a shift could lower crude oil prices into the low $50 per barrel range, reduce U.S. gasoline costs by up to 20%, and ripple through the world economy by cutting inflation, lowering production costs, and increasing disposable income for families.

4. Abraham Accords Expansion

Trump’s diplomatic team is actively expanding the Abraham Accords, which began with Israel’s normalization with the UAE and Bahrain. The expansion is set to include Saudi Arabia, Lebanon, and possibly Syria, dismantling decades of barriers in trade and diplomacy. This broader regional peace compact would enhance the flow of oil, food, technology, and investment across the Middle East.

5. Serbia–Kosovo “Belgrade Pact”

Trump has pushed forward a Serbia–Kosovo peace framework , reducing tensions that have simmered since the late 1990s. The “Belgrade Pact,” in motion, seeks to normalize relations through mutual recognition of borders, investment in cross-border infrastructure, and guarantees of minority rights. Stabilizing the Balkans further integrates the region into European markets, offering long-term growth and security benefits.

6. Sudan–South Sudan “Nile Stability Accord”

Negotiations facilitated under Trump’s oversight are moving toward a Sudan–South Sudan peace settlement, addressing disputes over oil revenues, borders, and water rights. Known as the “Nile Stability Accord,” this agreement could secure vital oil transit, reduce refugee flows, and stabilize a region at the crossroads of Africa and the Middle East.

7. North Korea–South Korea “Peninsula Peace Pathway”

Trump has revived North–South Korea peace talks, focusing on demilitarization and renewed economic cooperation. While not yet finalized, this “Peninsula Peace Pathway” builds on earlier historic summits and has potential to reduce military tensions on the Korean Peninsula. Progress here could reshape East Asian security, open North Korea to regional trade, and reduce the threat of nuclear confrontation.

8. Yemen “Arabian Peninsula Accord”

In cooperation with Gulf states, Trump’s team has advanced peace initiatives in Yemen, aiming to end one of the most devastating humanitarian crises of the 21st century. The “Arabian Peninsula Accord,” still in formation, seeks to balance power between regional actors, restore functioning governance, and open sea lanes in the Red Sea and Gulf of Aden—vital arteries for global trade.

9. India–Pakistan “Kashmir Framework”

Trump’s envoys have advanced back-channel negotiations between India and Pakistan to reduce tensions in Kashmir, one of the world’s most volatile flashpoints. The proposed “Kashmir Framework” includes confidence-building measures, trade corridor development, and expanded water rights cooperation under the Indus Waters Treaty. A breakthrough here could stabilize South Asia, reduce the risk of nuclear confrontation, and open new trade flows between Central Asia and the Indian Ocean.

10. China–Taiwan “Pacific Stability Dialogue”

Trump’s Asia team has initiated quiet China–Taiwan dialogue , encouraging restraint and economic engagement under what is being called the “Pacific Stability Dialogue.” Though early, this framework focuses on avoiding military escalation in the Taiwan Strait, expanding trade and investment ties, and preserving open sea lanes in the South China Sea. Any step toward easing tensions here would have massive global economic consequences, protecting trillions in annual shipping trade.


Global Outlook

Taken together, these ten peace initiatives and deals—a mix of signed accords and active negotiations—span every strategic region on the globe. From the Caucasus to Africa, from the Middle East to South Asia and the Pacific Rim, they aim to:

· Unlock new energy and mineral supply chains

· Reduce geopolitical flashpoints

· Lower global inflation and energy costs

· Enhance cross-border trade and investment

· Strengthen the S&P 500 and global markets through offshore revenue growth

If successful, this unprecedented wave of diplomacy could trigger a new global bull market powered not by war but by peace-driven prosperity.

Efficiency and Trade Gains

  • Faster Logistics: Corridors like TRIPP reduce shipping times and expenses.
  • Stable Energy Supply: Oil, gas, and pipelines increase reliability and affordability.
  • Medical & Humanitarian Flows: Cheaper, more predictable routes improve supply of essential goods.
  • Investment: Stability attracts capital, fuels infrastructure, and sustains regional growth.

The Power of Lower Interest Rates

If interest rates fall by just one point, the burden of debt shrinks by roughly 20%:

  • Families save on mortgages, student loans, credit cards, and auto loans.
  • Businesses borrow at lower cost, spurring expansion and innovation.
  • Governments save billions on national debt service, freeing resources for investment.

Jobs and Employment Worldwide

This wave of peace-driven prosperity could unleash a powerful global jobs boom. By lowering energy prices, stabilizing supply chains, and opening new trade corridors, businesses worldwide gain both cost savings and fresh markets to expand into.

Infrastructure projects such as rail lines, pipelines, ports, and digital networks will create millions of direct construction and engineering jobs, while expanded trade and investment will generate indirect employment across manufacturing, shipping, logistics, and technology.

As regional conflicts ease, tourism and cross-border commerce can flourish, creating service-sector jobs from hospitality to finance. In sum, peace becomes not just a diplomatic achievement, but a global employment engine—lifting incomes and opportunities across continents.

S&P 500 Revenue and Growth Outlook

These peace efforts have enormous implications for U.S. companies. Presently, around 30% of S&P 500 revenues come from international markets. With new corridors, expanded peace accords, and stabilized regions, that share could rise toward 50%. As offshore revenue grows, American companies gain access to new consumers, energy security, and supply chain resilience. Together with lower borrowing costs and cheaper energy, the S&P 500 could realistically grow 70–100% in the next five years , marking one of the most bullish cycles in market history.

Conclusion

Trump’s 10 sweeping peace initiatives—ranging from the Armenia–Azerbaijan TRIPP Corridor and the DRC–Rwanda Washington Accord, to the potential Russia–Ukraine settlement, the Abraham Accords expansion, the Serbia–Kosovo Belgrade Pact, the Sudan–South Sudan Nile Stability Accord, the North–South Korea Peninsula Peace Pathway, the Yemen Arabian Peninsula Accord, the India–Pakistan Kashmir Framework, and the China–Taiwan Pacific Stability Dialogue—are redefining global trade and security.

By stabilizing volatile regions, unlocking vital energy and mineral supply chains, and re-opening essential trade routes, these agreements promise lower costs, expanded markets, and stronger global cooperation. Coupled with falling interest rates, lower oil prices, and rising corporate revenues, this foundation of peace could ignite a worldwide bull market and a renaissance in global commerce.

In this vision, President Trump’s legacy is not only that of a statesman, but also of a transformative peacemaker—recognized with multiple peace prizes for reshaping the trajectory of world history.

_______________
Commissioner George Mentz JD MBA CILS CWM® is the first in the USA to rank as a Top 50 Influencer & Thought Leader in: Management, PM, HR, FinTech, Wealth Management, and B2B according to Onalytica.com and Thinkers360.com. George Mentz JD MBA CILS is a CWM Chartered Wealth Manager ®, global speaker - educator, tax-economist, international lawyer and CEO of the GAFM Global Academy of Finance & Management ®. The GAFM is a EU accredited graduate body that trains and certifies professionals in 150+ nations under standards of the: US Dept of Education, ACBSP, ISO 21001, ISO 991, ISO 29993, QAHE, ECLBS, and ISO 29990 standards. Mentz is also an award-winning author and award winning graduate law professor of wealth management of one of the top 30 ranked law schools in the USA.Mentzenborg is just a term of art to describe the theory and process by George Mentz JD MBA ChE. CWM is for Chartered Wealth Manager ® and ChE Chartered Economist ® is a credential for economics professionals.

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GeorgeMentz
In just the last 200 days, President Trump has spearheaded peace initiatives across half a dozen nations -from the Caucasus to Africa, Eastern Europe, and the Middle East.
donald trump, peace, deals, ukraine
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Monday, 18 August 2025 03:53 PM
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