Some GOP pollsters have considered former President Donald Trump having all but won the Republican presidential primary, and now his support in the latest Rasmussen Reports poll has reached a majority 50% among likely voters.
Trump now leads the field by 38 points after having pulled 45% support in September's edition of the Rasmussen poll.
The full GOP primary results:
- Trump 50%
- Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis 12%
- Former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley 9%
- Former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie 5%
- Entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy 3%
- Former Vice President Mike Pence 3%
- Sen. Tim Scott, R-S.C. 2%
- Former Arkansas Gov. Asa Hutchinson 1%
- North Dakota Gov. Doug Burgum 0%
- Undecided 14%
Notably, Pence has since officially ended his campaign, saying, "it is not my time."
When the nationwide poll expands to include Democrat and third-party voters for those with open primaries, the also-rans pick up a little bit of support against Trump.
"In states with open primaries — allowing voters to choose which primary they vote in without regard for their party registration — Trump's advantage could be diluted by the potential 'crossover' vote," according to the Rasmussen Reports analysis.
"While Trump gets 63% of the vote among self-identified Republican voters, the former president is supported by only 33% of Democrats and 46% of unaffiliated voters who say they're likely to vote in their state's 2024 GOP primaries.
"Several of Trump's primary rivals — including DeSantis, Haley, and Christie — draw a significant share of their support from Democrats and unaffiliated voters."
Rasmussen Reports surveyed 1,344 likely Republican primary voters and 2,015 likely U.S. primary voters Oct. 26-31 and Nov. 1-2, 2023. The margin of error for GOP primary voters is plus or minus 3 percentage points.