Although Donald Trump and President Joe Biden are tied at 43% in a hypothetical face-to-face contest in a general election for the White House, the former president is ahead of the current chief executive in most of the key battleground states, Morning Consult reported on Tuesday.
The survey reveals that, among the main swing states, Trump is leading the incumbent in Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, while Biden is ahead only in Nevada, with the two candidates tied in Michigan.
Other results from the surveys indicate:
- In an aggregate of surveys from all of the above states, Trump is ahead by 4 percentage points. Among those who voted for Biden three years ago, 14% no longer support him, while among those who voted in 2020 for Trump, 9% no longer back him.
- One of the major reasons for Biden's position in the surveys appears to be dissatisfaction with the nation's economy, as some 75% of swing-state voters said it is headed in the wrong direction, and they are more likely than not to say their personal financial situation was better off under Trump than it is under Biden.
- Across the seven key swing states, 49% of voters said that Bidenomics is bad for the economy, which is almost twice the share who said it has been good. Even among those who back his re-election bid, only 56% said that Biden's economic policies have been positive for the nation, compared with 86% of Trump supporters in the swing states who said it has been negative.
- Among undecided voters, only 2% said Bidenomics has been good for the economy while 46% said it has been bad and 41% have not yet made up their minds on the subject.
- In another blow to Biden, swing-state voters are 14 points less likely to say they trust him to handle the economy more than Trump (35% to 49%).
- In the Republican primary contest, Trump continues to have a substantial lead over all the other candidates. The former president's support is at 62%, while Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis is in second, backed by only 13% of the GOP's potential electorate. Following him is former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley at 7%, entrepreneur Vivek Ramawswamy at 6% and 5% for former Vice President Mike Pence.