State of the Race: How Battleground Polls See Trump-Harris

Republican Donald Trump and Democrat Kamala Harris (Matthew Hatcher/AP)

By    |   Thursday, 31 October 2024 07:21 PM EDT ET

With Election Day just five days away, the presidential race between Republican Donald Trump and Democrat Kamala Harris couldn't be closer.

Most political analysts believe seven battleground states — Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin — will decide who occupies the White House the next four years.

Here is a breakdown of recent polling results for each state.

Arizona: Trump appears to be polling well in a state he lost by just 10,457 votes to Joe Biden in 2020 but won in 2016. An AtlasIntel poll released Thursday showed Trump with a 50.8%-45.9% lead, well outside the poll's margin of error of +/- 3 percentage points. A Rasmussen Reports poll released Thursday showed Trump with a 48%-46% lead, with 5% undecided.

Georgia: An AtlasIntel poll released Thursday showed Trump with a 48.8%-47.2% lead. A CNN/SSRS poll released Thursday showed Trump with a 48%-47% lead, but a Rasmussen Reports poll released the same day showed Trump with a 51%-46% advantage.

Michigan: An Echelon Insights poll released Thursday showed the candidates tied with 47% each. A Michigan News Source/Mitchell Research and Communications poll released Thursday showed Trump ahead 48%-47% and an AtlasIntel poll released the same day has Trump ahead 49.2%-48.3%.

Nevada: An AtlasIntel poll released Thursday showed Trump ahead 50.5%-46.9%, outside of the poll's margin for error of +/- 3 percentage points. Harris had a razor-thin 47.8%-47.6% lead in a Trafalgar Group poll released Tuesday.

North Carolina: In a CNN/SSRS poll released Thursday, Harris is ahead 48%-47%. In an AtlasIntel poll released Thursday, Trump is ahead 50.7%-46.7%, outside of the poll's margin of error of +/- 3 percentage points.

Pennsylvania: In a state believed by many as a must-win to take the White House, an AtlasIntel poll released Thursday showed Trump ahead 48.5%-47.4%. A Quinnipiac poll released Wednesday showed Trump ahead 47%-46%. In the group's previous poll Oct. 9, Harris led Trump 49%-46%.

Wisconsin: A TIPP Insights poll released Thursday showed Harris ahead 48%-47%. An AtlasIntel poll released Thursday showed Trump ahead 48.5%-48.2%.

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Politics
With Election Day just five days away, the presidential race between Republican Donald Trump and Democrat Kamala Harris couldn't be closer.
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