Poll: Mamdani Virtually Tied With Cuomo, Others in 4-Way Race

Zohran Mamdani (L), Andrew Cuomo, Curtis Sliwa, and Mayor Eric Adams (Getty Images)

By    |   Wednesday, 16 July 2025 11:37 AM EDT ET

The New York City mayoral race is a dead heat, according to a new poll from HarrisX.

In a four-way race, Democrat nominee Zohran Mamdani is statistically tied with former Gov. Andrew Cuomo and Republican nominee Curtis Sliwa.

Mamdani leads with 26%, followed by Cuomo at 23% and Sliwa at 22%, all within the margin of error. Mayor Eric Adams lags with 13%, while 15% remain undecided, according to the poll.

In a three-way race without Adams, Cuomo leads with 31% over Mamdani, 29%, and Sliwa, 28%.

In a three-way race without Cuomo, Mamdani leads 35% to Sliwa's 25%, with Adams at 19%.

In head-to-head matchups, Mamdani leads Adams 43% to 36%, and Cuomo leads Mamdani, 50% to 36%, respectively.‍

Adams and Sliwa have said they will not abide by a mid-September resignation deadline to try to consolidate the vote against Mamdani, ABC 7-N.Y. reported Monday.

Cuomo has signed on to the pact, vowing to exit the race if he is not ahead of other candidates besides Mamdani by mid-September.

The survey was conducted online from July 7–8 among 585 registered voters in New York City.

The margin of error for the total sample is ±4.1 percentage points. This study was conducted independently by HarrisX prior to Andrew Cuomo's announcement to run as an independent in the general election.

Sam Barron

Sam Barron has almost two decades of experience covering a wide range of topics including politics, crime and business.

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The New York City mayoral race is a dead heat, according to a new poll from HarrisX.
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