Final TIPP Poll: Trump Leads Slightly

Former President Donald Trump holds a slight lead over Vice President Kamala Harris in TIPP Tracking's final 2024 presidential election poll.

Trump has 48.6% support and Harris receives 48.3%. Another 1.3% say they are undecided, 0.8% back Cornel West, and 0.5% support Jill Stein, according to results released Tuesday morning.

In a head-to-head matchup, Harris (48.4%) leads Trump (48.3%) by 0.1 points, with 1.2% choosing Other, 1.6% saying they are not sure, and 0.5% saying they prefer not to answer.

Other TIPP Tracking findings included:

• Northeast:
  • Trump 45%
  • Harris 51%
  • West 1%
  • Stein 1%
  • Other 2%
• Midwest:
  • Trump 50%
  • Harris 46%
  • West 1%
  • Stein 0%
  • Other 3%
• South:
  • Trump 53%
  • Harris 45%
  • West 1%
  • Stein 0%
  • Other 1%
• West:
  • Trump 43%
  • Harris 53%
  • West 1%
  • Stein 1%
  • Other 2%
• Urban:
  • Trump 41%
  • Harris 58%
  • West 1%
  • Stein 0%
  • Other 1%
• Suburban:
  • Trump 47%
  • Harris 50%
  • West 1%
  • Stein 1%
  • Other 2%
• Rural:
  • Trump 61%
  • Harris 35%
  • West 1%
  • Stein 1%
  • Other 2%
• Ages 18-44:
  • Trump 43%
  • Harris 52%
  • West 2%
  • Stein 1%
  • Other 2%
• Ages 45-64:
  • Trump 50%
  • Harris 48%
  • West 0%
  • Stein 1%
  • Other 2%
• Ages 65-plus:
  • Trump 53%
  • Harris 45%
  • West 0%
  • Stein 0%
  • Other 2%
• Male:
  • Trump 50%
  • Harris 48%
  • West 1%
  • Stein 0%
  • Other 2%
• Female:
  • Trump 48%
  • Harris 49%
  • West 1%
  • Stein 1%
  • Other 2%
• White voters:
  • Trump 54%
  • Harris 43%
  • West 0%
  • Stein 0%
  • Other 2%
• Black voters:
  • Trump 16%
  • Harris 81%
  • West 2%
  • Stein 0%
  • Other 1%
• Hispanic voters:
  • Trump 40%
  • Harris 56%
  • West 2%
  • Stein 1%
  • Other 1%
• High School graduates:
  • Trump 52%
  • Harris 47%
  • West 0%
  • Stein 0%
  • Other 0%
• Some college:
  • Trump 49%
  • Harris 48%
  • West 1%
  • Stein 0%
  • Other 2%
• College degree or more:
  • Trump 46%
  • Harris 50%
  • West 1%
  • Stein 1%
  • Other 2%
• Democrats:
  • Trump 5%
  • Harris 94%
  • West 0%
  • Stein 0%
  • Other 0%
• Republicans:
  • Trump 93%
  • Harris 6%
  • West 0%
  • Stein 0%
  • Other 1%
• Ind./Other:
  • Trump 45%
  • Harris 46%
  • West 2%
  • Stein 1%
  • Other 5%

The TIPP Tracking poll was conducted among 1,863 likely voters Nov. 2-4, with a margin of error of plus or minus 2.3 percentage points.