A late April 2025 headline on The Hill.com read: "Trump's sagging poll numbers become a concern for GOP."
This publication was not the only media outlet to lead with a story about the supposed collapse of President Donald J. Trump’s poll numbers during the week we entered the month of May.
Everyone watching television, listening to radio, or reading any mainstream media, in print or online, during that week, which marked the president’s first 100 days in office, was treated to similar storylines.
Given the fact that all media outlets were reporting historically high numbers for the president just a few weeks ago, this writer found these tanking poll stories hard to believe.
We should note, it's not as if mainstream media polls have a strong history of accuracy when it comes to reporting on the president.
One example which may readily come mind is when a Des Moines Register story reported that Kamala Harris had taken the lead over Donald Trump in Iowa; this just days before Election' 24, on Nov. 5.
Once the Register ran that story, the mainstream/legacy media jumped all over it as evidence that Harris was now on her way to victory over Mr. Trump.
That narrative is problematic.
Why?
Like so many other products of the mainstream media when it comes to Trump, it was an attempt to shape public opinion, rather than measure it.
Not only did Trump comfortably win Iowa with almost 56% of the vote, he also went on to win the national popular vote and every state considered a swing state during the 2024 election.
Despite the poor record of the mainstream media’s polls, there are some pollsters who have a record of accuracy when it comes to polling Trump.
Unfortunately, we seldom hear about them because they don’t have TDS (Trump Derangement Syndrome), so the media generally does not report on their polling.
Among pollsters who results can be genuinely relied upon are, Matt Towery of InsiderAdvantage.com, Robert Cahaly of TrafalgarGroup.org, Rich Baris of The People’s Pundit Daily.com, and Mark Mitchell of Rasmussen Reports.com.
During the same week media outlets were peddling their tired old narrative that our nation's 47th commander in chief is really in trouble this time.
Towery and Cahaly’s firms released a joint poll with the headline, "Trump Has Net Positive Approval Rating That Appears To Be Growing."
Towery appeared on the Laura Ingraham show that week and stated of Trump, "He’s not in free fall. He’s had a little bit of slippage because he’s doing a lot.
"He’s breaking a lot of eggs to make an omelet, but he is not dropping in any significant way. I can guarantee you, and I’m just not paying any attention to this nonsense.
"They were wrong in the elections in the past, and they’re going to be wrong about his approval rating as well."
Mark Mitchell and Rich Baris each also came out with their own information during this time that largely supported Towery’s and Cahaly’s contention that Trump remains in very good shape.
Mitchell revealed that Trump’s approval index is consistently better than Barack Obama’s was during his presidency.
Baris’ reaction to the media was very direct. "We saw a slew of polling before the election, including pollsters that came out over the weekend with the 100-day narrative, and they were all wrong," he said. "And they’re wrong again now."
Among the reasons the media states that Trump’s numbers are sagging is fear that his tariff plans will tank the economy.
As noted by the pollsters quoted above, such is not the case.
Although President Trump has warned that there could be some temporary pain with his tariff plan, he has promised that his strategy will pay off in the long run.
There are some positive signs that the payoff could begin sooner rather than later.
It has been widely reported that the U.S. is currently in negotiations with many nations on trade deals. One notable exception is China; however, there is also encouraging news on the China front.
A recent story in a Korean publication reported that China has begun to quietly reduce tariffs on several U.S. products. One of the products on which they are lowering tariffs is ethane.
This may seem unimportant until you understand that ethane, which China primarily sources from the U.S., is necessary to most Chinese factories that produce plastics.
A few days prior to the report that China was lowering tariffs on ethane, Zero-Hedge reported that plastics factories in China were shutting down due to the lack of availability of ethane.
They also opined that this was the first sign, probably the first of many, that China was beginning to experience pain, resultant of their tariff retaliation.
The exemption of tariffs on ethane may be a strong signal that China is ready to discuss a deal. The key to such a deal will likely be our willingness to allow Chinese leader Xi Jinping to save face.
If Mr. Trump can figure out how to strike a good deal for the U.S. that also provides Xi Jinping with a few things that he can claim as wins, then a deal and a new era of American prosperity could be within sight.
Joe from Texas is a family man with children, grandchildren, and great grandchildren. He's experienced tremendous success and lived the American Dream. His beliefs are both straightforward and deeply held. He believes in God, his family, and the United States of America. For more information, please visit www.JoeFromTexas.com. Read Joe Penland's Reports — More Here.
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