Democrats hold a narrow lead over the likely Republican challengers for the open U.S. Senate seat from Michigan, according to a new poll Tuesday from the Glengariff Group and the Detroit Regional Chamber.
Since incumbent Democrat Gary Peters announced his retirement in January, Republicans see the vacancy as a window to flip the seat and boost their majority in the Senate. Yet while Michigan has become a swing state in recent years, the various hypothetical matchups show Democrats with a small advantage.
GOP former Rep. Mike Rogers has already announced his intention to run. Rep. Bill Huizenga, another Republican, has not yet declared but is expected to enter the race as well.
Rep. Haley Stevens holds the strongest lead of prospective Democrats with a 6-percentage-point lead over Rogers and an 8-point lead over Huizenga. State Sen. Mallory McMorrow holds a slim lead over Rogers at 1.4 points and a 4.7-point lead over Huizenga.
Former gubernatorial candidate Abdul El-Sayed is also running and comes up short against Rogers by 1.9 points, while El-Sayed leads Huizenga by 2.5 points.
David Dulio, director for civic engagement and distinguished professor of political science at Oakland University, told Newsweek that the absence of President Donald Trump on the ballot could keep the Republican base at home, boding well for the Democrats.
"Simply put, many Trump voters didn't show up in 2018," he said. "There's a strong chance that happens again in 2026. It goes back to the historical trends in midterm elections that often sees a surge in supporters for a presidential candidate in the presidential cycle and a decline in turnout among those voters during the midterm."
The Glengariff Group and Detroit Regional Chamber survey was conducted May 5-8 among 600 registered Michigan voters and carries a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.
James Morley III ✉
James Morley III is a writer with more than two decades of experience in entertainment, travel, technology, and science and nature.
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