As the 2024 race for the White House enters the final stretch, new surveys from Emerson College Polling reveal that former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris are neck-and-neck in seven swing states.
According to the polling released Thursday, Trump is leading Harris in Arizona (49%-48%), Georgia (50%-47%), Pennsylvania (48%-47%), and Wisconsin (49%-48%).
Harris holds an advantage over Trump in Michigan (49%-47%) and North Carolina (49%-48%). The survey found that both candidates were tied at 48% in Nevada.
However, Trump and Harris are statistically tied in each state because the data for each state's poll fell within the respective margins of error.
"There has been modest movement in the presidential election since the late August Emerson swing state polls before the presidential debate," Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling, said in a statement.
"In Arizona and North Carolina, Trump lost a point, and Harris gained a point," he said. "Trump's support stayed the same in Michigan, Nevada, and Wisconsin, while Harris' support decreased by a point in Michigan and Nevada, and stayed the same in Wisconsin. In Georgia, Trump gained two points and Harris lost two."
Overall, the economy was cited as the top voter concern in each swing state. Arizona voters ranked immigration as the second top issue, while threats to democracy came in second among voters in Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. Voters in Nevada and North Carolina ranked housing affordability as their second most important issue.
The polling also found Democrats leading their Republican counterparts in key Senate and governor's races.
In the Arizona Senate race, Rep. Ruben Gallego, D-Ariz., pulled ahead of Republican candidate Kari Lake (48%-42%) with 10% undecided.
Rep. Elissa Slotkin, D-Mich., had an edge on Republican candidate Mike Rogers in the Michigan Senate race (47%-42%) with 11% undecided.
Sen. Jacky Rosen, D-Nev., was leading Republican candidate Sam Brown (48%-41%) with 9% undecided.
In the Pennsylvania Senate race, Sen. Bob Casey, D-Pa., held an advantage over Republican candidate Dave McCormick (47%-42%) with 12% undecided.
Sen. Tammy Baldwin, D-Wis., was leading Republican candidate Eric Hovde (49%-46%) with 5% undecided. Because the survey fell within the margin of error, the two are effectively tied.
In the North Carolina governor's race, Attorney General Josh Stein was leading Lt. Gov. Mark Robinson (48%-40%) with 10% undecided.
The Arizona poll surveyed 868 likely voters and had a margin of error of 3.3 percentage points, while 975 likely voters were surveyed in Georgia, with a margin of error of 3.1 percentage points. In Michigan, the poll surveyed 875 likely voters and had a margin of error of 3.2 percentage points. For Nevada's poll, 895 likely voters were surveyed, and it had a margin of error of 3.2 percentage points. In Pennsylvania, 880 likely voters were surveyed, with a margin of error of 3.2 percentage points. The North Carolina and Wisconsin polls each surveyed 1,000 likely voters and had a margin of error of 3 percentage points. All polls were conducted Sept. 15-18.
Nicole Wells ✉
Nicole Wells, a Newsmax general assignment reporter covers news, politics, and culture. She is a National Newspaper Association award-winning journalist.
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