The Census Bureau recently reported that America's population was 341.8 million on July 1, 2025, which is a 10.2 million increase, or 3%, from the 331.6 million on July 1, 2020.
Three Republican mega-states skyrocketed by 5.09 million residents for a sensational 50% of the nation's growth.
Texas exploded by 2.47 million residents or 8%, from 29.24 million to 31.71 million.
Florida soared by 1.87 million, or 9%, from 21.59 million to 23.46 million.
North Carolina boomed by 750,000, or 7%, from 10.45 million to 11.20 million.
President Donald Trump won these pivotal states in the last three elections, with 87 of 312 Electoral Votes (EVs) in 2024.
Six other highly populous states, which awarded President Trump 64 EVs, soared by a 2.33 million residents, or another 23% of America’s 10.2 million expansion between 2020 and 2025.
Georgia jumped by 570,000; Arizona, 500,000; South Carolina, 440,000; Tennessee, 390,000; Utah, 250,000; and Indiana, 180,000.
In stark contrast, three Democrat mega-states declined by 370,000 residents.
California dropped by 170,000, from 39.53 million to 39.36 million.
New York lost 120,000, from 20.12 million to 20.00 million.
Illinois fell by 80,000, from 12.80 million to 12.72 million.
They provided Kamala Harris with 101 of 226 EVs.
Six other populous Democrat states, which gave the former vice president 70 EVs, edged up by 1.32 million residents, or only 13% of America’s growth between 2020 and 2025.
New Jersey led with 280,000 new residents; Washington state, 270,000; Virginia, 240,000; Colorado, 220,000; Massachusetts,160,000; and Maryland, 150,000.
Another crucial demographic favoring Republican states is annual births.
Of the 3,623,000 babies born in the United States in 2024, seven states that were won by President Trump totaled 1,217,000 or 34%.
Texas led with 391,000 births; Florida, 224,000; and Ohio and Pennsylvania, 127,000 each.
Georgia had 126,000; North Carolina, 123,000; and Michigan, 99,000.
Seven states that were won by Harris totaled 1,079,000, or 30%, of the nation’s total births.
California led with 402,000; New York, 205,000; Illinois, 126,000; New Jersey, 101,000; Virginia, 94,000; Washington, 83,000; and Massachusetts, 68,000.
But very tragically, four Democrat mega-states totaled 457,000, or 40%, of America’s 1,141,000 abortions in 2024.
California performed 184,000; New York, 120,000; Illinois, 96,000; and New Jersey, 57,000.
Four Republican mega-states totaled 203,000, or 18%.
Florida performed 80,000 abortions; North Carolina, 51,000; Texas, 37,000; and Georgia, 35,000.
The births-to-abortions ratios between America’s two most populous states are mind-bogglingly divergent: Texas' 10.6 to 1.0 against California's 2.2 to 1.0.
New York, America’s fourth most populous state, has an even more horrendous ratio of 1.7 to 1.0.
Illinois’ is even worse at 1.3 to 1.0, and New Jersey’s is 1.8 to 1.0.
America’s is 3.2 to 1.0.
In conclusion, with less than nine months until the Congressional Midterm Elections, this writer's predictions are that Republicans will strengthen control of the Senate and House.
There are 35 contested Senate seats, of which 22 are currently held by Republicans and 13 by Democrats.
Republicans currently hold a 53 to 47 edge, and only elections in Maine and North Carolina are rated competitive.
But Susan Collins, the chairperson of the Senate Appropriations Committee, is running for a sixth term and will prevail.
In North Carolina, while two-term Sen. Tommy Tuberville, R-N.C. is retiring, the eventual Republican winner of the primary will keep the seat.
In the 2024 elections for the U.S. House of Representatives from the Tar Heel State, Republicans flipped three seats for the current 10 to 4 split.
Very encouragingly, total votes for the state's 14 seats were 2.89 million for Republicans but only 2.33 million for Democrats.
Vulnerable Democratic senators who are retiring this year – Minnesota's Tina Smith, New Hampshire's Jeanne Shaheen and Michigan's Gary Peters – were elected in 2020 with fewer than 50% of the vote.
Republican candidates can flip these seats.
Moreover, freshmen Democratic senators Jon Ossoff of Georgia and Ben Ray Lujan of New Mexico squeaked by six years ago and can be defeated in November.
Therefore, the possibility that Democrats will flip four Senate seats to regain control of the Senate is highly unlikely.
Despite Republicans’ clinging to a razor-thin 218 to 214 edge in the House, President Trump and U.S. House Speaker Rep. Mike Johnson, R-La., will succeed in not only retaining control but also increasing the party’s majority.
A bellwether election in Nov. 2025 occurred in Nassau County, New York, which is directly east of Queens and has 1.4 million residents.
Incumbent Republican County Executive Bruce Blakeman crushed the Democratic opponent 56% to 44%.
But in 2021, he barely won a first term, at 50.4% to 49.6%.
Thus, Nassau County’s two Congressional seats, which flipped to Democrats in 2024 by a mere 8,000 and 13,000 votes, are ripe for a reversal this year.
Furthermore, 20 of Florida’s 28 House members are Republicans, and Democrats Lois Frankel, Darren Soto, Kathy Castor, Jared Moskowitz and Debbie Wasserman-Schultz are hanging on by their fingernails.
A switch of between 10,000 and 28,000 votes in these districts from the results in 2024, each with approximately 838,000 residents, will flip them to the Republicans.
While many radical-left Democratic members of Congress, or their potential replacements, are on the ropes this year, their Republican opponents must emulate President's Trump’s killer instinct, delivering knockout punches.
Mark Schulte is a retired New York City schoolteacher and mathematician who has written extensively about science and the history of science. Read more Mark Schulte Insider articles — Click Here Now.
© 2026 Newsmax. All rights reserved.