Why Trump Has Homestretch Momentum

(Editor's Note: The following opinion column does not constitute an endorsement of any political party or candidate on the part of Newsmax.)

Frontrunner Donald Trump is charging down the home stretch of this year’s historic, mind-boggling election.

While Kamala Harris and Trump are tied nationally at 47% in CNN’s final poll on Oct. 25, voters under 35 years of age favor the vice president by 51% to 41%, or 10 points.

But the liberal network’s exit polls from the photo-finish 2020 election had Joe Biden crushing Trump, among voters under 30 years of age, 60% to 36%, or 24 points.

The Biden-Harris administration’s steep decline with this crucial demographic began in Sept. 2021, as was demonstrated by the profane chants at packed college football games of “[Screw] Joe Biden.”

Similarly, CNN has Harris leading Trump among women registered voters 50% to 44%, or 6 points.

But four years earlier, Biden won them 57% to 42%, or 15 points.

While Hispanic voters currently favor Harris 54% to 37%, or 17 points, they went for Biden 65% to 32%, or 32 points.

Obviously, presidential elections are not determined by the national vote, but electoral votes (EVs) in the 50 states and District of Columbia.

On Oct. 30, the no-tossup map from Real Clear Politics (RCP) has Trump with 297 EVs and Harris with 241.

When the Democratic leadership executed the coup d’etat against Biden on July 21, Trump was battering the president 325 to 213 EVs.

Harris began slicing away at Trump’s formidable advantage two days later, when Virginia’s 13 EVs switched.

Her highest total is 276 EVs on Sept. 13 and 18, which is only six more than the magical 270.

In the 101 days between July 21 and Oct. 30, Trump has led for 77 days and Harris for only 24 days.

His biggest lead, 312 to 226 EVs, was between July 23 and 29, and Oct. 17 and 28.

Additionally, during the campaign’s final days, Trump is fiercely battling to flip three other states with 27 EVs: Virginia, 13; Minnesota, 10; and New Hampshire, 4.

An Oct. 22 poll for Minnesota, whose governor is Harris’ hapless running mate Tim Walz, has the vice president leading by just 48% to 45%.

A Virginia poll from Rasmussen on Oct. 25 has Harris leading by only 48% to 46%.

And a WHDH-TV/Emerson poll for New Hampshire on Oct. 23 has the vice president ahead 50% to 47%.

Very significantly, an Oct. 26 Emerson College poll has Trump leading nationwide among male voters by 13 points, 55% to 42%, which is an improvement from 2020 when he won them by eight points, 53% to 45%.

Although male voters accounted for only 48% of total votes four years ago, their enthusiasm for him is surging and switching this year.

In 2020, according to CNN, former President Trump won white males, who accounted for 35% of the total vote, 61% to 38%.

He also won white females, who accounted for 32% of the total vote, 55% to 44%.

Conversely, in 2020, Black females went for Biden by an astonishing 90% to 9%, accounting for a hefty 8% of the total vote.

Black males voted for Biden 79% to 19%, but they accounted for a meager 4% of the total vote.

But their increased enthusiasm for Trump this year is traumatizing the Democratic leadership, as demonstrated by the recent racial and gender demagoguery from former President Barack Obama and former first lady Michelle Obama.

Black residents are a powerful constituency in five hotly contested states with a combined 79 EVs.

They are 33% of Georgia’s population; North Carolina, 22%; Virginia 20%; Michigan 14%; and Pennsylvania, 12%.

Hispanic residents are also an influential — and growing — constituency in these mega-populated states: 11% of the population in Georgia (16 EVs), North Carolina (16 EVs) and Virginia (13 EVs); 9%, Pennsylvania (19 EVs); and 6%, Michigan, (15 EVs).

As with Black Americans, Hispanic Americans in 2020 had significant gender gaps in support and turnout.

Hispanic women, who also accounted for 8% of total vote, went for Biden by a gigantic 39 points, 69% to 30%.

Hispanic men, who accounted for an underrepresented 5% of total vote, went for him by 23 points, 59% to 36%.

But Reuters reported on Oct. 25 that Harris is leading Trump among this demographic by just two points, 46% to 44%.

Finally, my conservative predictions are Trump will exceed the 304 EVs in his victory over abominable Hillary Clinton in 2016.

The former president will earn 90 million votes, or 16 million more than in 2020, and he could win the popular vote, a feat not accomplished by a Republican since incumbent President George W. Bush in 2004.

Republicans will increase their miniscule majority in the House and take control of the Senate, finally ending radical-left Chuck Schumer’s catastrophic, four-year tenure as Majority Leader.