After former President Donald Trump was declared the victor in the early morning of Nov. 6, many prominent supporters of Kamala Harris began publicly psychoanalyzing their embarrassing predictions that she would win.
In a Newsmax opinion article on Nov. 7, Lanny Davis, a lifelong Democrat and former special counsel to President Bill Clinton, confessed that his Election Day endorsement of the vice president was driven by his heart rather than his head.
By contrast, my Newsmax article on Nov. 1, “Why Trump Has Homestretch Momentum,” correctly predicted that Donald Trump would win with more than the 304 Electoral Votes (EVs) he received in defeating Hillary Clinton in 2016.
Trump earned an impressive 312 EVs.
I also argued that he could win the popular vote, becoming the first Republican since incumbent President George W. Bush in 2004 to accomplish this noteworthy feat.
As of Nov. 18, CNN has tallied 76.5 million votes for Trump to Harris’ 73.8 million.
When the roughly 1.6 million outstanding votes are finally recorded, Trump will have 77.1 million, Harris 74.6 million and the other candidates 2.6 million.
My third accurate prediction was that Republicans would recapture the Senate, finally terminating Chuck Schumer’s abominable, four-year tenure as the majority leader.
Republicans currently lead with 52 senators to 47 for the Democrats. Pennsylvania’s David McCormick is slightly ahead of incumbent Democratic Sen. Bob Casey Jr., as the Republican challenger patiently awaits a recount.
My fourth forecast was that Republicans would retain the House of Representatives, increasing their current minuscule lead, from 220 seats to 212 with 3 vacancies.
Republicans currently have 220 seats and Democrats 213 in the next House, and in the two remaining California districts, the Republican incumbents lead in one and are tied in the other.
After analyzing CNN’s 2024 exit polls, I have identified a group of demographics who are largely responsible for Donald Trump’s exuberant return to the White House.
Among voters between 45 and 64, Trump took 54% to Harris’ 44%. At 35% of the electorate, these voters born between 1960 and 1979 constitute the largest of four age groups.
Among Catholic voters who are 22% of the total electorate, Trump crushed Harris 58% to 40%.
Among Protestant and other Christian denominations, a hefty 42% of all voters, the former president pulverized the vice president 63% to 36%.
Among military veterans, only 12% of the electorate, Trump annihilated Harris 65% to 34%.
Among Hispanics who are also 12% of the electorate, Trump gained an astounding 27 percentage points from his result in 2020.
While Harris beat Trump by 6 percentage points, 52% to 46% among this rapidly growing group, Biden crushed him 65% to 32%, or by 33 points.
More granularly, Trump achieved a colossal 35-percentage point gain among Hispanic men, who are 6% of the total vote. They favored Trump over Harris 55% to 43% but voted 59% for Biden and 36% for Trump four years ago.
White women account for 37% of this year’s 154 million voters, or 57 million, and they are the largest among the gender and race/ethnicity cohorts. They favored Trump over Harris 53% to 45%.
(In the Newsmax article two weeks ago, I wildly and erroneously projected that Trump would get 90 million votes.)
White men are 34% of voters and gave Trump a resounding 60% of their votes to 37% for Harris.
All men with children under 18, who are 13% of the electorate, also went for Trump over Harris 60% to 37%.
Black women are 7% of the electorate, or 11 million, and they voted for Harris over Trump by a mind-boggling 91% to 7%.
Black men, who totaled 5% of the total vote as compared to 4% in 2020, favored Harris over Trump 77% to 21%.
In addition to white, Hispanic, Black and Asian voters, CNN’s exit polls identify “other racial/ethnic groups,” who are Native Americans, multiracial and multiethnic voters.
In 2024, this cohort accounted for 3% of the total vote, or 4.6 million, and they favored Trump 54% to Harris’ 42%.
But in 2020, they went for Biden 55% to Trump 41%, for an astonishing 26 percentage-point gain for the former and future president.
Vice President Kamala Harris, whose Black father is from Jamaica and late mother was born in India, was soundly rejected by multiracial and multiethnic voters.
Her failure symbolizes the moral and intellectual bankruptcy of the 60-year-old’s calamitous campaign strategy.
Harris and high-profile supporters demagogically revivified the Black Power, extreme feminism and other radical-left dogmas from the 1960s and 1970s.
But these ideologies are rejected by an overwhelming majority of voters in today’s much more diverse and tolerant America.
In conclusion, Donald Trump trounced Kamala Harris among many crucial voting cohorts because he understood their anger and despair over the many catastrophic policies of the Biden-Harris administration, including wide-open borders, sky-high inflation, weakness abroad, and the horrendous decay of many dystopian Democratic-run cities.
The vice president ignored voters’ widespread, intense dissatisfaction and subsequently suffered a humiliating, well-deserved defeat.
Mark Schulte is a retired New York City schoolteacher and mathematician who has written extensively about science and the history of science. Read Mark Schulte's Reports — More Here.
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