(Editor's Note: The following opinion column does not constitute an endorsement of any political party or candidate on the part of Newsmax.)
A July 21 Civiqs poll reveals that 57% of registered voters disapprove and only 35% approve of Joe Biden's presidency, or a disastrously negative 22 percentage points.
Daily responses from 505,000 participants are disaggregated into 13 demographic groups, based on age, education level, gender, and race/ethnicity.
President Biden has a negative ratio in 12.
Voters aged 18 to 34 give him a 61% disapproval, and 27% approval, or a stupendously negative 34%.
Even worse, 65% of whites disapprove of Biden’s job performance and just 29% approve.
College graduates rate Biden 55% disapprove and 37% approve.
Male registered voters are 63% disapprove and 31% approve, or a negative 32 percentage points.
Women rate the president 51% disapprove and 39% approve.
Hispanics are 51% disapprove and 40% approve, or a negative 11 percentage points.
Black registered voters are an extraordinary outlier, as 66% approve of Joe Biden’s presidential tenure and only 21% disapprove.
Their positive approval of 45 percentage points represents a mind-boggling 67-point difference from the 22 percentage-point disapproval of all registered voters.
Obviously, presidential elections are not decided by which candidate wins the popular vote, but by the results in each of the 50 states and their Electoral Votes (EVs).
President Biden’s results by state are even worse than those of the 13 personal demographics.
Biden has a positive-to-negative ratio only in Hawaii, 51% to 40%; Vermont 46% to 43%; Maryland, 47% to 45%; and Massachusetts, 48% to 43%.
They have a miniscule 28 EVs.
In California, Connecticut, Illinois, New Hampshire, New York, Rhode Island, and Wisconsin, Biden has a negative ratio between 5 and 9 percentage points.
Their combined 126 EVs bring Biden’s potential total to 154.
In 39 states, Biden’s atrocious ratios are between a negative 10 and 59 percentage points.
Additionally, critical data are in the aggregated polls from Real Clear Politics (RCP), which identify seven battleground states with 92 EVs. And in the Civiqs poll on July 21, Biden has a negative ratio in each.
In Arizona, he is minus 29 percentage points (32% positive to 61% negative); Nevada, -28; and Georgia, -27.
Biden is minus 24 percentage points in both Michigan and Pennsylvania; North Carolina, -20; and Wisconsin, -9.
Trump’s advantages over Biden in latest RCP polls are 5.8 percentage points in Arizona (47.4% to 41.6%); North Carolina, 5.7; Nevada, 5.6; and Pennsylvania, 4.5.
In Georgia, the former president leads by 4.0 percentage points; Wisconsin, 3.3; and Michigan, 2.1.
RCP’s latest map with no toss-up states has former President Donald Trump with 325 EVs in 32 states, and Biden with 213 EVs in 18 states and Washington, D.C.
With Trump performing strongly in states currently in Biden’s column, including Minnesota, New Jersey, New Hampshire and Maine, the former president could have reached — or exceeded — 350 EVs.
Undoubtedly, these catastrophic polls confirm that, as Newsmax reported on July 18, Donald Trump “could defeat [Biden] in a landslide.”
Inevitably, on July 21, Biden finally quit the rematch with former President Trump.
A few days later, Vice President Kamala Harris is the front-running inheritor of the tarnished Democratic presidential nomination.
But her job performance ratios in a HarrisX/Forbes overnight poll of July 19 to 21 are also dismal.
Among the poll’s puny 2,800 registered voters, the vice president is at 54% disapprove and 38% approve, or a negative 16 percentage points.
Registered voters between 18 and 34 years of age rate Harris is at 44% disapprove and 42% approve, or -2.
Among the 35 years of age and older cohort, she is a calamitous -20 percentage points, 57% to 37%.
Moreover, Vice President Harris is underwater among whites by 26 points; Hispanics by 4 points; and “others” by 19 points.
This cohort, I assume, includes Asians Americans, Native Americans and multiracial Americans.
Harris is biracial, as her deceased mother was an immigrant from India, and her father is from Jamaica. They met in the early 1960s as doctoral students UC Berkeley.
Black American are again extreme outliers in the HarrisX/Forbes Poll, as the vice president is at 59% approve and 28% disapprove, or a positive 31 percentage points.
Finally, the RCP aggregated poll of Vice President Harris' favorable/unfavorable ratio has been between negative between 10 and 20 percentage points since November 2021.
On July 22, she was at 52% negative and 38% positive, or -14.
My prediction is that in November Vice President Kamala Harris will suffer the same electoral fate as KO'd Joe Biden, with former President Donald Trump cruising to a decisive victory.
Mark Schulte is a retired New York City schoolteacher and mathematician who has written extensively about science and the history of science. Read Mark Schulte's Reports — More Here.